Archive for the ‘Material in English’ Category

Ice melts when it is warm … or how did it go?

27/06/2015

In 1975 the National Academy of Sciences published the picture below that showed the temperature of the northern hemisphere. The picture shows roughly one degree of warming from 1885 to 1940 and also that essentially all warming had disappeared by 1970.

Temp_1880-1970_National_Academo_of_Sciences

The temperature of the Northern hemisphere by the National Academy of Sciences 1975.

We know it was really cold in the Nordic countries 1860 – 1870 why? This is because we know that up to 20% of the population of areas in Sweden and Finland died in famine because crops failed for several years in a row. From Sweden it is reported:

The 1860-ies was a decade when crops failed in Norrland several times. The spring 1867 was extremely cold and the summer was late. There are many reports about how the winter didn’t want to loose its grip:

On may 22 at 11:30 am it was 1 deg C cold (-1) with the wind from NE. The markers on the lake (on the ice) are still standing upright and the depth of the snow is 1 1/2 aln (roughly 85 – 90 cm). May 25: Cold wind no melting and perfectly possible to move by sled, depth of snow 1 1/4 aln. On may 24 we run on ice frozen to land and no marker had melted off. On june 1: Run on the ice in a sled, good driving. On june 17 the lake was free of ice and in the evening a strong storm arose with lots of rain. June 19: Let out the cows. Snow still in the woods, no leafs on trees, no leafs on blueberry bushes no grass. (Noted by Zakarias Wallmark in Burträsk)

The harbour in Sundsvall in the 1870-ies: Neither sailing ships or steamers were able to negotiate the ice. Not until midsummer 1867 it was possible to sow in the area of Burträsk (where Zakarias Wallmark lived) och the situation was similar in other parts of Norrland.

The temperature curve above shows that still in the middle of the 1880-ies was very cold on the northern hemisphere. The Temperature now started to rise and in the beginning of 1920-ies it was possible to read essentially the same as we read in the news papers today:

Northpole_melting 1923

There are reports that the polar ice is melting and speculations that the ice could vanish altogether. Glaciers are melting fast.

After the temperature peak in 1940 the temperature started to go down again and in the early 1970-ies the whole warming from the beginning of the century had disappeared. The news papers now wrote about the cold and the risk of a new ice age.

NY_Times_1970_ice_age

At the end of the 1970-ies the cooling stopped and the new warming become a part of the politics. Note by the way that meteorologists say that a period of at least 30 years is needed  to draw any valid conclusions regarding climate. The period cooling from the 1940-ies to 1970 is thus an indication of a possible shift from a warming climate to a cooling climate (20 – 30 years). Only ten years after the cooling ended the marketing of a warming catastrophe was started.

Why the establishment suddenly did a 180 degree turn is easy to see by reading for example what the club of Rome was discussing. In the first part of the 1970-ies the worrying population growth  was discussed based on ideas of Malthus. After WWII much psychological research had been done regarding controlling the behaviour of mobs (large groups of people) had been done. The club of Rome had, after thorough internal negotiations,  found that ”weather”, o how British, could be used as a tool for influencing the population of the west.

At the end of the 1980-ies Gro Harlem Bruntland presented the idea of ”sustainable development” and roughly at the same time James Hansen of GISS presented the risk of global warming only ten years after the cooling scare ended by intentionally selecting the statistically hottest day of the summer. Before his thesis was presented to decision makers the air conditioning was shut down to allow the politicians to really feel the heat …

The climate establishment is controlled by the WMO (World Meteorological Institute) under UN (United Nations) and most national meteorological organizations are close coupled to the WMO. A small group of people within the WMO and other top organizations in the hierarchy have been able to control who is allowed to publish and also what is allowed to be published. I recommend the interested reader to Google ”Climate Gate” in different permutations to look at e-mails from the inner circle among other things talking about eliminating the warm period of the 1930-ies … a few years later the warm period had disappeared through corrections. The same set of leaked e-mails also showed how the clique conspired to force editors in important scientific magazines not willing to follow orders to resign … this was also successful in some cases.

As briefly mentioned above the e-post messages shows how the ”task group” discussed how to eliminate the high temperatures in the 1930-ies.  The marketing of the warming couldn’t be effective if it was possible to show that only half a century ago the temperatures were as high as today. The solution was to start correcting the measurements. The corrections were made by making old temperatures colder because changing today’s temperatures upwards wasn’t feasible … too easy to see through. The corrections were done as a series of corrections over a number of years. The adjustments have now almost eliminated the warm period of the 1930-ies just what the leaked mail discussed … an interesting random chance? Are the previous adjustments really done so incompetently that new adjustments that always cool the past are needed annually or semiannually.

GISS_corrections_since_1999

An example of GISS adjustments to temperatures. In this case it is US temperatures since the latter part of the nineteenth century (1880 – 2000).

Notice how the temperature adjustments are 0.5 – 0.6 deg C which is a significant part of the total global warming since the 1880-ies. How was  the correction curve created? Very easy: The original raw data is available on the net. What is needed is simply a subtraction of the raw data from the the GISS temperature estimate. The difference is the magnitude of GISS adjustments. Any reader can check this fairly easily if he/she wants to do the effort. It could also be an interesting effort for anybody to check for example the mean temperature of one year as read from a meteorological year book in one’s own country and compare this data point against the same year as presented by GISS (you find nice web sites where GISS presents its temperature estimates). Not all stations are adjusted yet. I have personally annually checked two stations Sodankylä and Helsinki in Finland but so far there hasn’t been any major changes.

Reykjavik_before_adjustments

The temperature as measured by the Islandic Meteorological institute. According to the local Meteorologists all necessary adjustments have been applied.

The picture above clearly shows the warm period in the 1930-ies followed by a very deep cooling to roughly 1980.

Reykjavik_after_adjustments

The same meteorologic station (Reykjavik) after being massacred by GISS.

Notice how the warm period of the 1930-ies has disappeared almost completely. The Meteorological institute of Island notes:“The GHCN ”corrections” are grossly in error in the case of Reykjavik”.

The same kind of ”adjustments” can today be found all over the world. The same kind of adjustments have been done in Australia where the matter has been brought to justice … so far without results. No valid explanations for the adjustments have been given.

What have these ”Orwellian corrections” brought? One result is of course that official global temperature estimates show a steeply rising temperature curve that closely follows the meme of CO2/temperature. One funny thing few will notice is that the result of the corrections is a number of funny conflicts. The heading of this article is ”Ice melts when it is warm … or how did it go?”.  When we today compare historic reports about melting/high temperatures and cooling/freezing we will notice funny conflicts.

In the first half of the 1920-ies one could read that glaciers and the polar ice were melting fast.

In the beginning of the 1970-ies one could read that the polar ice was advancing and glaciers were starting to advance again.

GISS_global_temp_meteorological_stations

Global temperature according to GISS per june 27 2015. Compare how ”corrections have changed to form of the curve completely.

The original estimate by the National Academy of Sciences in 1975 was:

Temp_1880-1970_National_Academo_of_Sciences

Notice how adjustments almost completely erased the warm period in the 1930-ies just as requested.

How does this work logically? According to GISS , read the curve, the temperatures in the 1970-ies were higher than in the 1920-ies. We know based on news reports from the 1920-ies that there was a fast melting up til perhaps 1950. After this melting period the ice was growing again.

The corrected temperature estimates of GISS thus says according to their own curve:

Glaciers and the polar ice will melt when the global temperature is low and the melting will stop when the temperature is high.

According to GISS the global temperature in the 1920-ies was ca. 0.3 deg C lower when ice was melting fast than in the 1970-ies when it according to GISS was warm and polar ices and glaciers were advancing.

Unfortunately I don’t buy this. Either the historical reports from the 1920 – 1950 are wrong or GISS corrections are wrong. I tend to believe the historical reports especially as the raw data doesn’t show this funny conflict.

Ordinary ”peasant’s logic” tells us that ice melts when it is warm and freezes when it is cold. On the other hand I know that we live in an interesting time … perhaps George Orwell was correct!

Situationen i Ukraina, vad kan du göra?

02/12/2013

Den här artikeln är baserad på bilder av Natalia Bido med bilder från den 29.11.2013 i Kiev i Ukraina. Bilderna har kommit via Sebastian Silén vän till Natalia Bido på facebook.

Observera att du kan titta på bilderna i bättre upplösning genom att klicka på dem!

Notice! Click the pictures to se them in proper resolution!

Kiev2_903932_10201881818781660_866373989_o

Natalia konstaterar att hon vill sprida bilderna för att på detta sätt kunna ge en insidesbild av det som händer i Ukraina. Hon hoppas att man snabbt skall finna lösning på problemet så att man får slut på våldet! Situationen eskalerade då specailgruppen ”Berkut” tidigt på morgonen den 30.11 angrep demonstranterna.

Natalia beskriver situationen på följande sätt (på Engelska):

30.11.2013 04:00 am at the Independence Square in Kiev the squad ”Berkut ” conducted the sweep of the area without warning, brutally beating up peaceful protesters , unarmed students , women and journalists. Video from surveillance cameras on buildings of the Square fixed numerous attacks of the following nature : the Special Operations Group ”Berkut” about 2-3 people continued to harass students who ran away from the venue of the protest meeting in a radius of 200 – 1000 meters from the place of meeting, these children (17 – 23 years) fall dawn on the ground and they was beaten with a stick on the back, head , legs, and finish off lying on the ground unarmed people by feet, attacking the liver, kidneys, by feet in the stomach, by stick on legs and head. Injured 35 people, including women, students and journalists (including foreign). Multiple trauma, traumatic brain injury.
Such the brutality Government explained that the protesters could prevented the installation a Christmas tree in the main square of the country!
Already in 7 hours after the accident the people of Ukraine are not saying a word went to Mikhailovsky Square in a sign of indignation and protest against the regime and the authorities. 30.11.2013 at 18:00 pm on Mikhailovsky Square there were approximately 20,000 people. Drivers supported the protesters by signals.

En snabb rå översättning till svenska blir ungefär:

Den 30.11.2013 kl. 04:00 var jag på Självständighetstorget i Kiev då skvadronen ”Berkut” utan förvarning gjorde ett svep över området. Man slog brutalt fredliga demonstranter, obeväpnade studenter, kvinnor och journalister. Övervakningskameror från byggnader runt torget fångade flera attacker av följande typ: Några personer ur specialgruppen ”Berkut” fortsatte att angripa studenter som sprang bort från området kanske 200 – 1000 meter från samlingsplatsen, de här barnen (17 – 23 år) föll till marken och de slogs med batong i ryggen, på benen och i huvudet. 35 personer inkluderande kvinnor, studenter, journalister (också utländska) skadades. Många olika typer av skador inklusive hjärnskador.

Myndigheterna förklarade brutaliteten med att demonstranterna förhindrade uppsättningen av en julgran på landets centraltorg! Redan 7 timmar efter händelserna begav sig stora skaror Ukrainare till Michailovsky torget för att uttrycka sin indignation och för att protestera mot regimen och myndigheterna. Vid 18-tiden den 30.11.2013 hade det redan samlats uppskattningsvis 20 000 människor på torget. Förarna i bilar signalerade sitt bifall genom att tuta.

В 04:00 утра 30.11.2013 на Майдане Независимости в Киеве спецподразделение ”Беркут” без предупреждения провело зачистку площади, жестоко избивая мирно митингующих, безоружных студентов, женщин и журналистов. Видеозаписи с камер наблюдения на зданиях площади фиксируют многочисленные нападения следующего характера: группы ”беркутовцев” по 2-3 человека доганяют убегающего студента в 200 – 400 метрах от места митинга, бъют палкой в спину, валят на землю и добивают лежащего на земле безоружного человека, свернувшегося в комок, нанося удары по печени, почкам, ногами в живот, палкой по ногам и голове. Пострадало 35 человек, среди них девушки, студенты и журналисты (в том числе иностранные). Множественные травмы, черепно-мозговые травмы.
Такое зверство Правительство объяснило тем, что митингующие мешали устанавливать новогоднюю ЁЛКУ на главной площади страны!!!
Уже в через 7 часов после происшествия на Народ Украины не сговариваясь вышел на Михайловскую площадь в знак возмущения и протеста против существующего режима и власти. К 18:00 вечера 30.11.2013 на Михайловской площади находилось приблизительно 20 000 человек. Автомобилисты, проезжая мимо, поддерживали митингующих сигналами.

Kiev4_1397752_10201881455772585_1786269906_o

Sebastian önskar alla vänner som på något sätt påverkas av skeendena, och hela den Ukrainska befolkningen, den styrka och uthållighet de behöver för att säkra att händelserna leder dem mot en bättre framtid!

Kiev6_914108_10201881457852637_1140117030_o

Personligen hoppas jag att politikerna i både öst och väst och Ukraina däremellan skulle ta sitt förnuft till fånga och lösa problemet. Varför måste man diskutera tullunion antingen med Ryssland … eller EU? Skulle inte det naturliga vara att försöka skapa goda förbindelser både till Ryssland och till EU. Finland har faktiskt vissa erfarenheter och det verkar vara helt möjligt … om viljan finns!

Här följer en del av Natalia Bidos bilder utan vidare kommentarer.

Kiev7_883774_10201881492613506_1454834197_o

Kiev8_1400244_10201881502373750_2058033060_o

Kiev9_1412757_10201881510413951_783591433_o

Kiev10_1474593_10201881547814886_649316044_n

Kiev11_1396925_10201881558175145_1551152898_o

Kiev12_1412569_10201881583335774_450013011_o

Kiev14_914114_10201881598256147_980561622_o

Kiev15_1417707_10201881606656357_2100073573_o

Kiev16_1417629_10201881614336549_74772648_o

Kiev17_1404695_10201881630096943_280332959_o

Kiev18_1401297_10201881644977315_1320177333_o

Kiev19_1426139_10201881667177870_1996258717_n

Kiev20_1397208_10201881693778535_1913239557_o

Kiev21_1399470_10201881701098718_619782940_o

Kiev23_857983_10201881747979890_2001015343_o

Kiev24_1397672_10201881749379925_1355377499_o

Kiev25_575412_10201881761060217_790307861_n

Kiev26_1465741_10201881789860937_1402050246_o

Kiev27_1483880_10201881804741309_1368133141_o

Kiev29_1465304_10201881832782010_858491098_n

Kiev30_1461709_10201881832582005_1679149345_n

Kiev33_1483478_10201881864062792_1599788782_o

Kiev34_1398070_10201881889663432_1767080741_o

Kiev36_1397933_10201881908063892_1697813101_o

Kiev39_1012786_10201881962345249_1923609644_n

Kiev40_1465756_10201881970105443_2038289458_o

Kiev41_1397260_10201881977745634_1467061860_o

Kiev42_740023_10201881985945839_1673376283_o

Kiev44_860436_10201882041587230_919029375_o

Kiev45_1397174_10201882041547229_1367156133_o

The water vole

19/03/2013

The water vole

When rowan

produces big clusters

we expect a cold winter

When clouds of unrest

are seen at the horizon

we expect hard times

When children

are terrified in the evening

the real face of our time is seen

Now the berries are ripe

and through the storm

the sound of boots

over memory’s tombstones are heard

while backs are bent

waiting for hits from rifle butts

by men in black

A wine press

is set up for the wine trodder from Edom

Expecting the winter

the water vole collects food

a big heap

preparing for the hunger

it’s simple wisdom points out for the future

while Man still is sleeping a final year

until the Golden calf and the Colossus

walk southward to slaughter

through beautiful towns

burned

but guarded by the eyes of death

below the surface of the sea

while the mantle of the wine trodder

is coloured red by sprinklings

when the hands of hate

are crushed


Then the old stars have fallen

from high positions

Then the sun of the west has lost

its obvious shine

and the moon

has banged its horns bloody

in the quest of power

The wine trodder’s vessel is overflowing

and surprised

Man awakes

The rowan berries cores that fell to the ground

germinate and grow into a forest

The wine that was trodden

ripens in a new vessel

The children that were terrified

have forgotten their tears

and the clouds of unrest

have passed

and the babies of the water vole

are playing at the edge of the field

Then messengers are sent

from country to country

to show a new spring awaiting humanity

There is a just law

governing the world

and the wind that makes waves in the growing fields
brings laughter

and fragments of words

in a language everybody understands

Then

it is said

he was young

when he died at an age of eighty

and the wolf

and the lion

link arms

with the sheep

Some words about the poem

A wrote the poem ”Vattensorken” /”The water vole” when the war in the Balkan area was at its peak. It felt like the insane violence would never end. The poem hints at similar hard times in Europe not very far in the past, I am thinking of Hitler’s and Stalin’s terror. The reader also probably recognizes that I use references to the time of the end in the Bible. The references to the Sun and the Moon shouldn’t be too difficult to understand.

Prophesies regarding ”the time of the end” tend to be taken very literally with stars falling from the sky destroying everything around us. The poem shows another possibly slightly surprising way of reading these texts based on a bahai point of view. Is it possible that perhaps ”the time of the end” already arrived, and passed,  but humanity was so blind and blinded by its small every day’s problems that nobody noticed?

The picture is taken from ”pudlarpelargoner.blogspot.com”.


Pointman's

A lagrange point in life

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK

Lars Silén: Reflex och Spegling

NoTricksZone

Lars Silén: Reflex och Spegling

Big Picture News, Informed Analysis

Fashionable dogma. Religious zealotry. We're bigger than that. (This blog is written by Candian journalist Donna Laframboise)

JoNova

Lars Silén: Reflex och Spegling

Climate Audit

by Steve McIntyre

Musings from the Chiefio

Techno bits and mind pleasers

Bishop Hill

Lars Silén: Reflex och Spegling

Watts Up With That?

The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change

TED Blog

The TED Blog shares interesting news about TED, TED Talks video, the TED Prize and more.

Larsil2009's Blog

Lars Silén: Reflex och Spegling

%d bloggare gillar detta: